Microsoft is expected to release the next major fall update for Windows 11 in a few days. But when exactly? We have a guess.
Windows Latest analyzed when Microsoft released the last few fall updates for Windows 11 over the last few years and found that next Tuesday—October 6th, 2026—is the most likely date.
According to the analysis, Windows 11 versions 21H2, 22H2, 23H2, 24H2, and 25H2 were all released on a Tuesday. In three cases, that Tuesday fell in October; in two cases, it fell in September. Only one of those October days fell at the end of the month; all other Tuesdays in October came early in the month. Going by the odds, it seems most likely then that Windows 11 26H2 will arrive on the first Tuesday of October 2026.
Okay, that’s all good and well. But what’s so special about Windows 11 26H2? Who’s going to get it? And how do you get it? We’ve answered all the major questions in our rundown of what to expect when Windows 11 26H2 lands. In short, don’t get too excited; let it come when it comes and install it whenever it’s most convenient for you.
